Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.020823 0.022498 0.024244 0.026201 0.028335 0.030593 0.033165
2025-10-12 0.018156 0.020572 0.023225 0.026362 0.029974 0.034015 0.038888
2025-10-19 0.016349 0.019188 0.022430 0.026418 0.031207 0.036795 0.043840
2025-10-26 0.014969 0.018074 0.021732 0.026380 0.032157 0.039137 0.048266
2025-11-02 0.013879 0.017168 0.021147 0.026346 0.033001 0.041292 0.052491
2025-11-09 0.012783 0.016145 0.020309 0.025883 0.033206 0.042577 0.055602
2025-11-16 0.011844 0.015241 0.019538 0.025416 0.033323 0.043691 0.058483
2025-11-23 0.011178 0.014637 0.019097 0.025326 0.033892 0.045387 0.062200
2025-11-30 0.010545 0.014031 0.018606 0.025119 0.034259 0.046792 0.065555
2025-12-07 0.010005 0.013513 0.018195 0.024980 0.034688 0.048273 0.069068
2025-12-14 0.009493 0.013001 0.017757 0.024766 0.034979 0.049548 0.072323
2025-12-21 0.009115 0.012652 0.017522 0.024816 0.035635 0.051363 0.076462
2025-12-28 0.008684 0.012224 0.017174 0.024715 0.036108 0.053000 0.080550
2026-01-04 0.008352 0.011921 0.016992 0.024848 0.036941 0.055232 0.085730
2026-01-11 0.008023 0.011604 0.016767 0.024898 0.037639 0.057283 0.090740
2026-01-18 0.007697 0.011272 0.016501 0.024862 0.038190 0.059118 0.095501
2026-01-25 0.007396 0.010962 0.016249 0.024830 0.038733 0.060957 0.100367
2026-02-01 0.007017 0.010514 0.015763 0.024396 0.038597 0.061669 0.103340
2026-02-08 0.006664 0.010089 0.015291 0.023959 0.038424 0.062296 0.106181
2026-02-15 0.006418 0.009819 0.015047 0.023875 0.038825 0.063900 0.110845
2026-02-22 0.006162 0.009523 0.014748 0.023681 0.039024 0.065157 0.114948
2026-03-01 0.005937 0.009264 0.014496 0.023550 0.039319 0.066588 0.119452
2026-03-08 0.005710 0.008994 0.014212 0.023350 0.039478 0.067778 0.123565